How to Run a Bank

Buffett has studied banking all his life -- he likes being in the position of the guy who has the money and gets paid to let other people use it. (He also likes being in the position of getting paid to use other people's money -- Buffett likes to win either way, but i digress.) Buffett would really love for Berkshire to own a bank outright, but it can't, legally. So Berkshire buys bank stocks and performs as many bank-like functions as it can.  Berkshire Finance is where many of these functions take place.

This year, Kevin Clayton and Clayton Homes got special mention, and they deserve it. The manufactured home industry has shrunk from sales of 372,843 to 50,046 over 12 years. That’s incredible. In the intervening time, Clayton has come to more or less own the industry. It has been able to survive because of access to Berkshire’s capital and because its loan loss levels are extraordinary.

 Clayton is lending to subprime borrowers and has been getting loan loss ratios of 1.17 – 1.86% on originated loans over the past five years.  A commercial bank would be proud of these ratios.  

When you consider the horrific losses suffered by banks in the mortgage crisis, Kevin Clayton’s achievement (obviously, made under Buffett’s philosophy) is a wow. Buffett tooted the patriotic horn in this section of the report -- the fact is that Berkshire is making very good money lending money to people who can repay. 

(These numbers illustrate all the more why it is so shameful that nearly all the other banks thought they were too clever to make money this simple way, and nearly went broke and had to be bailed out.)

 

The root cause is securitization....

Fannie and Freddies main root cause to their problems are the twofolded.

1. Poor Management. When risk premium is low, cost of borrowing is low. Therefore many managers urge employees to hunt volume. Hunting volume in banking is like hunting volume in insurance business. It will lead you to twist your credit policy...work fine for a couple of years (hopefully) and all of a sudden burst right into the fan...Once it does it comes back in huge speed for a bank, due to the banking paradigm. Banking is a relations business where a great reputation for the bank are essential. Once a rumor spreads about this and that bank will have problem meeting the obligations...You will have problems meeting your obligations. Your lenders will run to empty their accounts and your finance department will have to pay premiums to secure financing..
2. Securitization -The alchemy way to create AAA-rating..

Fannie and Freddie Take Note

Actually, I don't think it's coincidental that President Obama came out with some intentions to wind down Fannie/Freddie. These agencies have compounded problems with mortgage securitizations with inadequate origination due diligence. Claytons fiscal disipline is amazing, stuff of Berkshire lore.

I also enjoyed the bit on having spare cash. Henry Paulson Jr.'s book 'On The Brink' explained how GS likes to have plenty of liquidity when he was running the organization, but they obviously didn't have nearly as much as cushion as BRKA when push came to shove.

I have a hard time thinking the next group will come close to how Warren (oh.... and Charlie) run the place.

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